Model risk score
33.1/100
predictive maintenance model
Predicted RUL
113d
remaining useful life
Health index
78/100
telemetry-derived
Model confidence
80%
evidence density
Open snags (tail)
0
unscheduled, open
Aircraft status
AOG
1496 flt hrs · 16y old
✨ AI root-cause analysis
Generating AI analysis…
Predicted failure mode
Intermittent logic faults — leading signals: BIT failures, channel disagreements.
See the Predictive model tab for the substantiating data points and the Maintenance & spare tab for history and the prescriptive action.
Health degradation & failure projection
Why — model risk drivers
Feature attribution — substantiating data points
| Risk driver | Weight | Severity | Contribution | Substantiating evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Component criticality | 14% | 100% | 14.0 pts | High |
| Health-index deficit | 30% | 22% | 6.6 pts | health 78/100 |
| Cumulative duty (flight hrs) | 8% | 42% | 3.3 pts | 1,496 flight hrs |
| Airframe age | 5% | 64% | 3.2 pts | 16 yrs (inducted 2010) |
| Recent unscheduled snags | 12% | 25% | 3.0 pts | 1 unscheduled events on tail |
| Spare exposure | 3% | 100% | 3.0 pts | 0 on hand, lead 62d |
| Failure imminence | 28% | 0% | 0.0 pts | ~113d to predicted failure |
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Source: components · maintenance_events · aircraft · spares — model: gradient-weighted risk attribution · governed & traceable
Maintenance activity — SB-1076
This component — Flight Control Computer
| Date | Type | Severity | Status | Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | Scheduled | Low | Closed | 55.3h |
Full aircraft history
| Date | Component | Type | Sev | Status | DT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Environmental Control Pack | Sched | Low | Closed | 2.1h |
| 2026-05-13 | Environmental Control Pack | Sched | Med | Closed | 78.8h |
| 2026-01-16 | Radar Power Supply | Sched | Med | Closed | 25.6h |
| 2026-01-08 | Wiring Harness Loom | Sched | Med | Closed | 31.0h |
| 2025-09-15 | Environmental Control Pack | Sched | Low | Closed | 43.8h |
| 2025-05-05 | Wiring Harness Loom | Unsch | Low | Closed | 2.8h |
| 2024-10-07 | Flight Control Computer | Sched | Low | Closed | 55.3h |
Lead-time history
Stock on hand vs reorder
Required spare & prescriptive action
Required spare
Flight Control Computer
on hand 0 · reorder 4 · lead 62d ·
High
Stock is at/below reorder and lead time has risen to 62 days —
pre-position Flight Control Computer at AFS Marut now to avoid an AOG when the component is pulled.
The same chain is visible fleet-wide on the diagnostic drill-down.
Monthly receipts & consumption
| Month | Lead time | On hand | Received | Consumed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 38d | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 2025-08 | 43d | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025-09 | 40d | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 2025-10 | 44d | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 2025-11 | 49d | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025-12 | 51d | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-01 | 54d | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 2026-02 | 53d | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-03 | 54d | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04 | 57d | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-05 | 62d | 0 | 8 | 4 |
| 2026-06 | 62d | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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Source: spares · spares_history · consumption · governed & traceable