Model risk score
35.6/100
predictive maintenance model
Predicted RUL
174d
remaining useful life
Health index
69/100
telemetry-derived
Model confidence
92%
evidence density
Open snags (tail)
0
unscheduled, open
Aircraft status
AOG
2455 flt hrs · 8y old
✨ AI root-cause analysis
Generating AI analysis…
Predicted failure mode
Progressive wear-out — leading signals: trend-based health degradation.
See the Predictive model tab for the substantiating data points and the Maintenance & spare tab for history and the prescriptive action.
Health degradation & failure projection
Why — model risk drivers
Feature attribution — substantiating data points
| Risk driver | Weight | Severity | Contribution | Substantiating evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent unscheduled snags | 12% | 100% | 12.0 pts | 5 unscheduled events on tail |
| Health-index deficit | 30% | 31% | 9.3 pts | health 69/100 |
| Cumulative duty (flight hrs) | 8% | 68% | 5.5 pts | 2,455 flight hrs |
| Component criticality | 14% | 30% | 4.2 pts | Low |
| Spare exposure | 3% | 100% | 3.0 pts | 0 on hand, lead 61d |
| Airframe age | 5% | 32% | 1.6 pts | 8 yrs (inducted 2018) |
| Failure imminence | 28% | 0% | 0.0 pts | ~174d to predicted failure |
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Source: components · maintenance_events · aircraft · spares — model: gradient-weighted risk attribution · governed & traceable
Maintenance activity — TH-1008
This component — Ejection Seat Cartridge
| Date | Type | Severity | Status | Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | Unscheduled | Med | Closed | 16.6h |
| 2024-09-03 | Unscheduled | Low | Closed | 72.4h |
Full aircraft history
| Date | Component | Type | Sev | Status | DT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Main Landing Gear Actuator | Unsch | High | Closed | 25.0h |
| 2025-12-16 | Ejection Seat Cartridge | Unsch | Med | Closed | 16.6h |
| 2025-04-12 | Main Landing Gear Actuator | Unsch | Low | Closed | 75.4h |
| 2025-02-28 | Hydraulic Pump Assembly | Sched | Med | Closed | 18.0h |
| 2025-01-19 | Generator Control Unit | Unsch | Low | Closed | 57.6h |
| 2024-09-03 | Ejection Seat Cartridge | Unsch | Low | Closed | 72.4h |
| 2024-08-03 | Generator Control Unit | Sched | Low | Closed | 30.3h |
Lead-time history
Stock on hand vs reorder
Required spare & prescriptive action
Required spare
Ejection Seat Cartridge
on hand 0 · reorder 8 · lead 61d ·
High
Stock is at/below reorder and lead time has risen to 61 days —
pre-position Ejection Seat Cartridge at AFS Akashdeep now to avoid an AOG when the component is pulled.
The same chain is visible fleet-wide on the diagnostic drill-down.
Monthly receipts & consumption
| Month | Lead time | On hand | Received | Consumed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 45d | 12 | 11 | 7 |
| 2025-08 | 51d | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 2025-09 | 50d | 13 | 8 | 6 |
| 2025-10 | 49d | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 2025-11 | 50d | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 2025-12 | 53d | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| 2026-01 | 55d | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 2026-02 | 54d | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 2026-03 | 60d | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2026-04 | 60d | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-05 | 60d | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2026-06 | 61d | 0 | 0 | 4 |
🔒
Source: spares · spares_history · consumption · governed & traceable