Model risk score
60.8/100
predictive maintenance model
Predicted RUL
16d
remaining useful life
Health index
35/100
telemetry-derived
Model confidence
92%
evidence density
Open snags (tail)
0
unscheduled, open
Aircraft status
Operational
1336 flt hrs · 14y old
✨ AI root-cause analysis
Generating AI analysis…
Predicted failure mode
Brush & bearing wear — leading signals: start-time creep, current spikes.
See the Predictive model tab for the substantiating data points and the Maintenance & spare tab for history and the prescriptive action.
Health degradation & failure projection
Why — model risk drivers
Feature attribution — substantiating data points
| Risk driver | Weight | Severity | Contribution | Substantiating evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failure imminence | 28% | 73% | 20.5 pts | ~16d to predicted failure |
| Health-index deficit | 30% | 65% | 19.5 pts | health 35/100 |
| Component criticality | 14% | 60% | 8.4 pts | Med |
| Recent unscheduled snags | 12% | 50% | 6.0 pts | 2 unscheduled events on tail |
| Cumulative duty (flight hrs) | 8% | 37% | 3.0 pts | 1,336 flight hrs |
| Airframe age | 5% | 56% | 2.8 pts | 14 yrs (inducted 2012) |
| Spare exposure | 3% | 20% | 0.6 pts | 1 on hand, lead 32d |
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Source: components · maintenance_events · aircraft · spares — model: gradient-weighted risk attribution · governed & traceable
Maintenance activity — MR-1036
This component — APU Starter
| Date | Type | Severity | Status | Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 | Unscheduled | Med | Closed | 12.4h |
| 2025-04-18 | Unscheduled | Low | Closed | 20.5h |
| 2025-02-10 | Scheduled | Low | Closed | 62.5h |
| 2025-01-13 | Scheduled | Med | Closed | 63.4h |
Full aircraft history
| Date | Component | Type | Sev | Status | DT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 | APU Starter | Unsch | Med | Closed | 12.4h |
| 2025-08-20 | Brake Assembly | Sched | Low | Closed | 20.6h |
| 2025-04-18 | APU Starter | Unsch | Low | Closed | 20.5h |
| 2025-02-10 | APU Starter | Sched | Low | Closed | 62.5h |
| 2025-01-13 | APU Starter | Sched | Med | Closed | 63.4h |
| 2024-12-26 | Cockpit Display Unit | Sched | Med | Closed | 67.5h |
Lead-time history
Stock on hand vs reorder
Required spare & prescriptive action
Required spare
APU Starter
on hand 1 · reorder 4 · lead 32d ·
High
Stock is at/below reorder and lead time has risen to 32 days —
pre-position APU Starter at AFS Nabhomani now to avoid an AOG when the component is pulled.
The same chain is visible fleet-wide on the diagnostic drill-down.
Monthly receipts & consumption
| Month | Lead time | On hand | Received | Consumed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 26d | 10 | 1 | 3 |
| 2025-08 | 23d | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-09 | 23d | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-10 | 25d | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-11 | 25d | 9 | 8 | 4 |
| 2025-12 | 26d | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-01 | 25d | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 2026-02 | 31d | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 2026-03 | 28d | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-04 | 33d | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-05 | 32d | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 2026-06 | 32d | 1 | 0 | 0 |
🔒
Source: spares · spares_history · consumption · governed & traceable