Model risk score
67.0/100
predictive maintenance model
Predicted RUL
6d
remaining useful life
Health index
45/100
telemetry-derived
Model confidence
92%
evidence density
Open snags (tail)
1
unscheduled, open
Aircraft status
Operational
327 flt hrs · 18y old
✨ AI root-cause analysis
Generating AI analysis…
Predicted failure mode
Thermal-cycling solder fatigue — leading signals: intermittent dropouts, BIT codes.
See the Predictive model tab for the substantiating data points and the Maintenance & spare tab for history and the prescriptive action.
Health degradation & failure projection
Why — model risk drivers
Feature attribution — substantiating data points
| Risk driver | Weight | Severity | Contribution | Substantiating evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failure imminence | 28% | 90% | 25.2 pts | ~6d to predicted failure |
| Health-index deficit | 30% | 55% | 16.5 pts | health 45/100 |
| Recent unscheduled snags | 12% | 100% | 12.0 pts | 7 unscheduled events on tail |
| Component criticality | 14% | 60% | 8.4 pts | Med |
| Airframe age | 5% | 72% | 3.6 pts | 18 yrs (inducted 2008) |
| Cumulative duty (flight hrs) | 8% | 9% | 0.7 pts | 327 flight hrs |
| Spare exposure | 3% | 20% | 0.6 pts | 0 on hand, lead 18d |
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Source: components · maintenance_events · aircraft · spares — model: gradient-weighted risk attribution · governed & traceable
Maintenance activity — TJ-1035
This component — Avionics LRU
| Date | Type | Severity | Status | Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Unscheduled | High | Open | 27.0h |
| 2026-02-06 | Unscheduled | High | Closed | 22.1h |
| 2025-09-08 | Unscheduled | Med | Closed | 9.2h |
| 2025-06-28 | Scheduled | Med | Closed | 11.2h |
| 2025-05-28 | Unscheduled | Low | Closed | 57.9h |
Full aircraft history
| Date | Component | Type | Sev | Status | DT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Engine Turbine Module | Sched | Med | Closed | 72.6h |
| 2026-05-27 | Avionics LRU | Unsch | High | Open | 27.0h |
| 2026-02-06 | Avionics LRU | Unsch | High | Closed | 22.1h |
| 2025-09-08 | Avionics LRU | Unsch | Med | Closed | 9.2h |
| 2025-08-31 | Flight Control Computer | Unsch | High | Closed | 7.7h |
| 2025-07-20 | Wiring Harness Loom | Sched | Med | Closed | 8.0h |
| 2025-06-28 | Avionics LRU | Sched | Med | Closed | 11.2h |
| 2025-05-31 | Flight Control Computer | Unsch | Low | Closed | 35.8h |
| 2025-05-28 | Avionics LRU | Unsch | Low | Closed | 57.9h |
| 2025-01-30 | Wiring Harness Loom | Unsch | Low | Closed | 47.8h |
| 2024-11-18 | Wiring Harness Loom | Sched | Low | Closed | 63.4h |
Lead-time history
Stock on hand vs reorder
Required spare & prescriptive action
Required spare
Avionics LRU
on hand 0 · reorder 7 · lead 18d ·
Med
Stock is at/below reorder and lead time has risen to 18 days —
pre-position Avionics LRU at AFS Trishul now to avoid an AOG when the component is pulled.
The same chain is visible fleet-wide on the diagnostic drill-down.
Monthly receipts & consumption
| Month | Lead time | On hand | Received | Consumed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 6d | 21 | 12 | 9 |
| 2025-08 | 8d | 18 | 9 | 8 |
| 2025-09 | 11d | 17 | 12 | 10 |
| 2025-10 | 9d | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 2025-11 | 12d | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 2025-12 | 14d | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 2026-01 | 15d | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 2026-02 | 16d | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 2026-03 | 17d | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 2026-04 | 16d | 5 | 10 | 9 |
| 2026-05 | 16d | 3 | 10 | 11 |
| 2026-06 | 18d | 0 | 0 | 8 |
🔒
Source: spares · spares_history · consumption · governed & traceable