Model risk score
82.9/100
predictive maintenance model
Predicted RUL
1d
remaining useful life
Health index
25/100
telemetry-derived
Model confidence
97%
evidence density
Open snags (tail)
1
unscheduled, open
Aircraft status
AOG
1569 flt hrs · 14y old
✨ AI root-cause analysis
Generating AI analysis…
Predicted failure mode
Intermittent logic faults — leading signals: BIT failures, channel disagreements.
See the Predictive model tab for the substantiating data points and the Maintenance & spare tab for history and the prescriptive action.
Health degradation & failure projection
Why — model risk drivers
Feature attribution — substantiating data points
| Risk driver | Weight | Severity | Contribution | Substantiating evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failure imminence | 28% | 98% | 27.5 pts | ~1d to predicted failure |
| Health-index deficit | 30% | 75% | 22.5 pts | health 25/100 |
| Component criticality | 14% | 100% | 14.0 pts | High |
| Recent unscheduled snags | 12% | 100% | 12.0 pts | 5 unscheduled events on tail |
| Cumulative duty (flight hrs) | 8% | 44% | 3.5 pts | 1,569 flight hrs |
| Airframe age | 5% | 56% | 2.8 pts | 14 yrs (inducted 2012) |
| Spare exposure | 3% | 20% | 0.6 pts | 0 on hand, lead 37d |
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Source: components · maintenance_events · aircraft · spares — model: gradient-weighted risk attribution · governed & traceable
Maintenance activity — TJ-1033
This component — Flight Control Computer
| Date | Type | Severity | Status | Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Unscheduled | Critical | Open | 72.2h |
| 2026-01-06 | Scheduled | Med | Closed | 28.3h |
| 2025-12-30 | Scheduled | Med | Closed | 25.5h |
| 2025-07-26 | Scheduled | Low | Closed | 78.2h |
| 2025-02-17 | Scheduled | Low | Closed | 26.7h |
| 2025-02-09 | Unscheduled | Med | Closed | 8.2h |
Full aircraft history
| Date | Component | Type | Sev | Status | DT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Flight Control Computer | Unsch | Critical | Open | 72.2h |
| 2026-05-09 | APU Starter | Unsch | Med | Closed | 118.9h |
| 2026-04-15 | Fuel Control Unit | Sched | Med | Closed | 8.6h |
| 2026-01-06 | Flight Control Computer | Sched | Med | Closed | 28.3h |
| 2025-12-30 | Flight Control Computer | Sched | Med | Closed | 25.5h |
| 2025-07-26 | Flight Control Computer | Sched | Low | Closed | 78.2h |
| 2025-06-24 | APU Starter | Unsch | Med | Closed | 79.1h |
| 2025-05-17 | Fuel Control Unit | Unsch | Med | Closed | 65.1h |
| 2025-02-17 | Flight Control Computer | Sched | Low | Closed | 26.7h |
| 2025-02-09 | Flight Control Computer | Unsch | Med | Closed | 8.2h |
| 2024-09-24 | Radar Power Supply | Sched | Low | Closed | 51.1h |
Lead-time history
Stock on hand vs reorder
Required spare & prescriptive action
Required spare
Flight Control Computer
on hand 0 · reorder 4 · lead 37d ·
High
Stock is at/below reorder and lead time has risen to 37 days —
pre-position Flight Control Computer at AFS Trishul now to avoid an AOG when the component is pulled.
The same chain is visible fleet-wide on the diagnostic drill-down.
Monthly receipts & consumption
| Month | Lead time | On hand | Received | Consumed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 33d | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 2025-08 | 33d | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 2025-09 | 32d | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 2025-10 | 33d | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 2025-11 | 31d | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2025-12 | 32d | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 2026-01 | 34d | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2026-02 | 36d | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-03 | 35d | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04 | 34d | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 2026-05 | 37d | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-06 | 37d | 0 | 0 | 2 |
🔒
Source: spares · spares_history · consumption · governed & traceable